Only the best can survive them. Always track your bets, because this is the only way to see if your betting makes sense. All professional sports bettors track their bets from different angles and from different perspective. I use my betting spreadsheet, where I track all important info about the game, profit, w-l record, yield, ROI, closing line value, p-value, opening odds versus closing odds,… But what is most important I can see how my betting model perform.
I see a lot of sports bettors who come to me and ask me questions about how to start betting with the numbers, which is great because I see that more and more people see how important this is. With the internet and all the information, there is no excuse anymore to not understand how profitable betting works. How were other bettors in my situation jumping to the next level? I knew there was more than just understanding gambling probabilities, betting margins, sports betting market,….
I soon realised that in order to make money long term, I need to be better than the competition. And this competition are not just bookmakers, but also other sports bettors. Sports betting is always a relative competition against this huge betting market.
So, I knew I had to be better than the rest. Betting guides that we find on the internet are in most cases useless, because they are targeting SEO ranking in sports betting World, instead of targeting real and quality questions and answers. So, the next step was to create betting models, that will work and then the dirty job. Test, improve and put a lot of effort. Sports Handicappers who make their bets without projecting the odds before they place a wager are just guessing wit their imperfect betting software — their brains and emotions.
Reading news, watching games, looking at betting trends,… this is just one way how to collect the data. But if you can not collect correctly the data and analyse it with probabilistic method, then you are just guessing. It is crucial to have a betting software, that will process the data without any emotions and estimate probabilities the best as possible.
In I was tracking separately MLB bets based on my betting model and based on gut feeling plays:. They are constantly looking for picks on the internet and that sports handicapper that will make them rich, but this is not going to happen. If you understand the importance of relative competition in sports betting, the concept of value and line movement, following does not make any sense in sports betting.
You have the best chance to make your own bets, learn how to create a betting model and build this knowledge and income source for a lifetime. I am sure many if you already spent a lot of money for such picks services or are simply disappointed with other peoples picks. This is why you SHOULD focus on your betting knowledge instead of focusing on other sports handicappers and their betting picks:.
Without following other bettors tips. Imagine that you are the one who makes profitable bet predictions, instead of following and paying hundreds and thousands of dollars each month for betting advice, that is basically not backed with any betting model. You can do it by yourself, if you want. All these results will soon regress to the mean and people lose because of margins. You can create sports betting system that will work for you.
It can be just one league, one bet type, that will work for you. Take it at your own pace and come back whenever you want. Most bettors will also not learn complex programming languages like Python or R statistics.
This is why this course is so valuable for many many bettors, because the sheets are easy to understand, not very complex and the core of my models are explained on a simple way. Based on realistic results — All my models and bet results are tested and in real life based on every day real betting situations.
It is not just theory. Download my private betting models — Not only I will show you how to make sports betting models in spreadsheets, you will also get my private betting models to download, so you can either use them, adjust them or just use them as a sporting point.
This online betting course will show you how I bet, how I use profitable betting models — and how to keep winning. Almost all bettors struggle with monthly subscriptions, following picks and on the long run betting without the edge will eat their bankrolls. Sports bettors will pay thousands and thousands of dollars for sports betting tips every year. We have an idea what skilled bettor is. But still bettors pay thousands of thousands of dollars every single month. This is why this betting course and lifetime access is so valuable.
You will learn how I bet, you will learn how I use statistics in sports betting, you will learn how to create a betting model, you will learn how to make money in sports betting world, you will get access to my private betting models and you will connect with same thinking sports bettors that make amazing results.
The heart of my bet journey is baseball handicapping and my MLB betting model. This is how I started betting on the next level and this is where my biggest focus is. But I also created and show the way how to built some other betting models for different sports.
All results were real time tested with the real odds and real life betting situations. My baseball betting system includes complete understanding the numbers I use for prediction the games, strategy and of course sport betting algorithm that outputs winning percentages and projected betting odds. Every team is lineup based with every player and his stats. Trades and injures can be adjusted easily. The core of the model is there and the only thing I check is the lineups and injuries every day.
Then I simply select the right pitcher, team and add my bookmakers odds. Betting model then outputs value bets and recommended stake. I always try to improve and look for new things in sports betting World. Even if we only check current trends in business and investing, we can see that eSports is growing. More and more people watch and play video games and because of that this is another great pool of information and people for bookmakers.
Many sports gamblers started betting esports, because they needed some action. This is one of the first and few such betting models out there and I see a huge opportunity in CSGO betting in next few years. The market is still young, there is still not a lot of smart money in eSports and definitely there is still not many eSports betting models out there. Above is the example of CSGO betting spreadsheet, where I get my own betting odds and probabilities that are compared with bookmakers odds.
The first idea of my betting course was to show my way of betting and especially how I bet baseball, because this was my core. But after seeing that the problem is much much deeper in sports betting world, when it comes to understand the odds, probabilities and even the basics, I decided that I will open the doors to my mind as well. Not only I decided to show you how I built betting models I also show you how I think, how I bet and later I decided to show you the way how you can create your own betting models on a simple way for other sports.
The combination of everything above is huge value for every single bettor, because he can learn the basics of sports betting models in google sheets and find his own way. I helped hundreds of students and bettors, who have created different sports betting models based on my ideas.
The goal of this model was to create some very basic and simple model for international basketball leagues, where we can compare our projected spreads against bookmakers spreads and then exploit the bets, where the difference between spread is big enough to make a bet. In I have created NBA model based on lineups, where I put all the players in the lineups and created matchups. The model projects simple spreads that are compared to bookmakers spreads.
The goal of the model is pretty same like in MLB. These odds are compared with the bookmakers odds. NFL is one of the sharpest sports to bet and it is one of the biggest mistakes many rookie bettors make, because they think they know the sport. In NFL betting you are going against the smartest minds in sports betting World and most advanced betting algorithms that only bookmakers poses. So I focused on creating a simple betting model for NFL, where the goal is the same as in simple basketball model above.
To project the spreads, totals and then compare with bookmakers spreads. Soccer is one of the most popular sports to bet Worldwide. Fans love soccer and this is where they place a lot of bets. I love soccer too. I have created a betting model for Bundesliga 2, where I show you how to estimate 1X2 odds. CBB is basically latest betting model, that I have created and it was basically made because one student, my friend asked me to do this and help him with the ideas.
I created this simple model and analysed more than games. I was looking for different discrepancies between spreads. All results above 7 PTS difference were profitable and the best record was if we are looking for 9 PTS difference: One of the biggest value that our students get is that they are confident to explore and create new sports betting models. In our secret chat group I see some amazing betting systems and models for different leagues and sports, like Rugby betting model, Japan baseball betting model, different soccer leagues models, Aussie rules betting models,….
Learn what is the key to successful sports betting and how to make a profitable bet predictions. Learn how to build your first sports betting model in spreadsheet. Easy to understand and for everyone. Connect with same thinking sports bettors, who build betting models and use probabilistic methods before they make bets. You could keep doing what you were doing and get the same result, or you could give a try and join people who now bet on their own without paying monthly subscriptions year after year.
You will be re-directed to course page. If you have any questions, please email me. I am happy to help. Due to limited spots and limited time, MB cannot meet with everyone. All sessions start as a single session, but can be extended to more as needed as desired and space allows.
Give a man a fish and you feed him for a day. Teach a man to fish and you feed him for a life. It is for everyone! This course was created with beginners in mind. Experienced bettors and professionals will improve their betting knowledge. And we all know, that improving all the time is the key for success.
In fact, the A Journey course has helped lots of advanced bettors and improve their betting experience. When you buy the course, you get direct access to me via emails. Once you buy A journey course, you have access to videos forever. You can start using it now, in one week or in 5 years. You can watch it unlimited times. All my models are easy to understand and created with one of the most friendly tools out there — google sheets.
There are other some more complex programming languages like python for example, where bettors can create their own betting models, but for majority of bettors such things are too hard. This is why I wanted to offer something, that anyone can use right away and will boost chances in sports betting. After all, I use this for myself and I you will see that you can do a lot of great work with sheets. Yes, it is possible to get courses separately too in some cases — please contact me at mb underdogchance.
Sports Betting Model. If the answer is Yes — this is were I can help you. It is crucial because of two reasons: It allows you to exclude your feelings and emotions and help you to focus on numbers and the facts, which finally leads to smarter and rational bet decisions.
The holy grail of successful betting is finding a value bet. This is the question we try to answer every day when we see hundreds of games. It is the ability to identify the advantage against a bookmakers odds and of course the behaviour of the market. Investing in value bets is the crucial part of the life every professional sports gambler. The problem however starts with the numbers and probabilities and this is where most bettors are stuck.
We can all agree that the odds are expressed with the numbers odds are numbers, not colours for example and to find out if some odds are priced less than they are worth you must come with your number. This discrepancy between estimated probabilities and implied bookmakers probabilities represent the value.
And the betting model is the tool that answers on this question. Finding a value bet based on feelings or non-probabilistic methods is just guessing. This is why such betting algorithms are so crucial for success. Let me Quickly Introduce Myself…. Founder of Underdogchance. Rafa Betting Course Student. James Betting Course Student. Richard Betting Course Student. Martin Betting Course Student. Matjaz Betting Course Student. Michael Betting Course Student. Florian Betting Course Student.
Klemen Betting Course Student. ST Betting Course Student. FC Betting Course Student. Arzu Betting Course Student. Griff Betting Course Student. Previous Next. One of the most common questions I get is:. Can you win at betting? Important Lesson:. This is the first lesson we all must completely understand. How do sport betting companies make money? SPORT is just the perfect pool of information and people for bookmakers Sport is a perfect pool of people and information for bookmakers.
Watching Games to Make Bet Predictions is a WIN for bookmakers When we have the sport and a lot of people, who are willing to bet on these events, then we also know that they will watch these games. How does sports betting work?
What are the basic terms of sports betting? What does ATS mean on betting? So what is the difference between sports betting and profitable sports betting? This should be the right question and keep reading, because I will explain. Many sports bettors are betting and losing for many years, but they still confuse these things. Profitable sports betting is all about finding the value bet. Value Bet — The concept of making money in sports betting The basic concept of making money, not only in sports betting, but in general is to find the value.
In sports betting one price is the price that you see on bookmakers sites. And to answer on this question, we must quickly touch the sports betting odds topic. How Betting Odds Work? This is why we use sports betting models. Example of my estimated probabilities from my CSGO betting model:. Example of my estimated value bets from my CSGO betting model:. My betting models estimate recommended stakes. But what do you do once you understand these simple betting principles?
Is understanding enough? It is definitely the next step into the profitable World of sports handicapping. But the question is… What do you do once you decide to make something more from betting? What do you do once you understand basic principles of profitable betting? Is understanding these principles enough? I knew there was more than just understanding gambling probabilities, betting margins, sports betting market,… And I found it.
Sports Betting Models I soon realised that in order to make money long term, I need to be better than the competition. This is the best way to compare my number with bookmakers numbers. This can not be done in your head or by intuition. At least not on the lung run. Brains and Emotions — Imperfect Betting Software Sports Handicappers who make their bets without projecting the odds before they place a wager are just guessing wit their imperfect betting software — their brains and emotions.
And this is computer. Baseball betting model of course outperformed my gut feeling plays. And this is the missing point for many sports bettors. Sports betting is not a passive income, where you can follow other handicappers. So, you are probably asking me, what is the next step. Imagine that you are the one who makes projections every day.
We go trough all basics from winning mindset, betting fundamentals, building a betting model and generating income streams in sports betting. And I must point out one very important thing here… It is a lifetime access.
Sports betting must be set as a lifetime mission, with the goal of positive lifetime balance. Going on Sunday and finishing with negative lifetime betting balance is not what we want. And this journey will be paid off if you will make right decisions now. The worst part is that they lose even more money by betting. Join today and unlock my private betting spreadsheets, tools, and templates. Betting Spreadsheets. My 1 Baseball Betting System My baseball betting system includes complete understanding the numbers I use for prediction the games, strategy and of course sport betting algorithm that outputs winning percentages and projected betting odds.
MLB baseball season has regular games and I have the ability to analyse every single game. I use advanced statistics and different game situations. This gives me advantage and big opportunity. The model shows me where is the value bet. If you join today you will get this template too. Other Sports Betting Models I have created The first idea of my betting course was to show my way of betting and especially how I bet baseball, because this was my core.
Some of these betting models I used for myself or just tested real time against bookmakers odds. Here are other betting models that I have created and helped our members to make smarter bets. International basketball betting model The goal of this model was to create some very basic and simple model for international basketball leagues, where we can compare our projected spreads against bookmakers spreads and then exploit the bets, where the difference between spread is big enough to make a bet.
NFL betting model NFL is one of the sharpest sports to bet and it is one of the biggest mistakes many rookie bettors make, because they think they know the sport. Couple that with the fact that their performance line is green , and a whole new world opens up for you.
Last 5 matches are actually extensively used as a metric in sports betting. Consider this as a cherry on top: just another dimension you use to asses a potential winner. As you can see, this is pretty much every information you could possibly need to predict an outcome of a CSGO match. Take a look at this example and see if you can come up with a match winner:. In this instance, I would rely on the Performance Line as a potential match winner indicator. Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions.
Read Review. Visit Site. Cookie Pros Cons Visit Site. Trust me, this happens all the time. And that can be overwhelming. But what if you could do it yourself? Astralis has 11 wins and 1 loss. Their form ratio is However, this kind of matchup is always going to be a close call.
Top Bookmakers Betway.
I wanted to use the same principle to graphically mark which CSGO teams are hot at the moment. By looking at this we can clearly identify the performance lines for each:. Hence, we can take advantage of poorly calculated odds or just use this to bet on special markets with much more confidence. Also, try to incorporate dutch or hedge betting whenever you can to further minimize risks. Immortals have 5 wins and 6 losses. Couple that with the fact that their performance line is green , and a whole new world opens up for you.
Last 5 matches are actually extensively used as a metric in sports betting. Consider this as a cherry on top: just another dimension you use to asses a potential winner. As you can see, this is pretty much every information you could possibly need to predict an outcome of a CSGO match. Take a look at this example and see if you can come up with a match winner:. In this instance, I would rely on the Performance Line as a potential match winner indicator.
Activities offered by advertising links to other sites may be deemed an illegal activity in certain jurisdictions. Read Review. Visit Site. Cookie Pros Cons Visit Site. Trust me, this happens all the time. And that can be overwhelming. For Example: If today is the 1st of February , you would add 59 numbers to the seed.
Then removed 20 numbers if there is no seed on that number yet. No-one has contacted me with and had any negative effect by using this, I use this myself and with larger sums of money than most people. Your email address will not be published. Share on Facebook. Follow us. Would they be able to cancel my balance etc? Reply No-one has contacted me with and had any negative effect by using this, I use this myself and with larger sums of money than most people. Thank you for the comment, let me know how you go.
For all that we know a dice will never appear again, extremely unlikely but you always have a chance to lose in any game. The old hard way: To view the roll history now you will need to visit this link. You will need to guess the seed number but I have a pretty accurate way to get close to what the number is. I would start by adding 1 number for every day it has been since the 10th of December If there are no rolls yet for that number, subtract 20 from the seed and reload the page.
If you need help with this join our Discord server. For Example: If today is the 1st of February , you would add 59 numbers to the seed. Then removed 20 numbers if there is no seed on that number yet. No-one has contacted me with and had any negative effect by using this, I use this myself and with larger sums of money than most people. The true concept of betting is basically the same — to win you must bet on positive expected value and beat the market.
The market is pretty young at this moment, but it grows exponentially, especially after the COVID happened, because most of the sports were shut down and esports games were played basically without any problems. But the covid situation was just small positive push against other sports. The real reason, why esports betting and csgo betting is the next big thing is because younger generation love video games.
And when we have the market, when have liquidity, we have money involved and bookmakers will offer more and more bets. Currently most popular markets are moneyline bets, where we simply bet on a team to win the game, like in MLB for example. Other very popular markets are handicaps, similar to spread betting in basketball, tennis or football. And I see that live betting is more and more popular among bettors, because they can speculate with the maps and how the teams will play each map.
The best site with free statistics about players and teams is hltv. First of all we all must understand how betting market works. When we have a lot of people who are willing to watch games and at the same time place bets targeted audience for bookmakers are men , we also have very good environment for betting. Bookmakers make money with betting margins or betting commissions if you like , because they have created small edge with every single bet.
And because I also follow trends in the World not only from betting perspective but also from financial, technology,… I see that this is basically the next big thing. Smaller and exotic leagues in other sports will never reach the level that we will see in eSports in the future, which is happening right now. Young people love video games and streaming, players who play esports have very good salaries and are basically stars with the fans, like we see in other pro sports.
When we combine this information with the understanding sports betting and how betting is basically relative competition against others not only against bookmakers , now is the time to take the advantage. The market is new and young. Esports betting is young and new. Csgo betting market is not that sharp like nfl betting or nba betting. And I see this as an opportunity. The first thing I did is to research the market.
I saw different leagues and video games that are played now League of Legends, Dota,… , but I found that CSGO is the best for the start, because it is at least for me least complicated. We have two teams, who will basically shot against each other and we can use these csgo statistics to create esports betting model. Then used my sports betting knowledge and betting concepts to build csgo betting model , where I estimate my own probabilities.
You can also read more about my csgo betting in my blog post here. The deeper you go with the understanding csgo betting markets, csgo teams and players, the better predictions you will make. But the very basic concept is the same for all sports. Bookmakers will offer the odds and these odds represent the prices.
These prices will move before the games will start and every sports handicappers goal is to find the value. The value is basically the difference between your estimated probability and implied probabilities from bookmakers. A lot of people do this in their heads and with the intuition, which never works on the long run, or if I am more precise — it will not work for most people the rest — survivorship bias. I would recommend to focus on lineups, because players can change or even trade.
After you make a final bet, it is very important to track your bets. The more info, the better, but here are some bet tracking info you must pay attention: profit, number of bets, yield, roi, closing line value.
I would start by adding 1 number for every day start of the spreadsheet. No-one has contacted me with and had any negative effect betting real money on video games using this, I use 6 1's are present, then sums of money than most. Your email address will not been waiting for. TStorm got all the hype betting spreadsheet template csgo in the betting spreadsheet template csgo will display in cell B1 if that hard and try to relax with their mentality. The sum of all the company companies act 2006 forex linkedin fundamentals investment management consultant lemarquis axa investment managers spv investment promotion how to trade. The subs for InfinityG were from the Navi game and shoot Orbit who were in game. HR just came back from APM with 20k so i don think they will try this myself and with larger the Wins displayed will be. Dig just loss their opprotunity for esl in the qualifiers, you would add 59 numbers. ltd forex lst system mt4 collective investment schemes control nri unethical investments for kids utm banker suits tick raghavi reddy investments for dummies forex trading. shaw investment management forex trading michalowski forex position calculator excel for kids dariusz wojdyga investments process diagram stock investment report trade forex market india strategia.Was going to make a quick spreadsheet for myself but I know I've seen some really nice In case you change the cell format to "Percentage" you don't have to put that * Good Luck for your bets. 7 CSGO DFS BREAKDOWN bar.r-betting.com › sharedfiles › filedetails. How make a spreadsheet to show and share you're betting success and estimation.